ALVARADO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,163 students:
≈ 21 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,081 per student in district revenue, the 21 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $274,701/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEENE H S KEENE |
Public | 6.5 | 373 | +12.0% |
| VENUS H S VENUS |
Public | 6.5 | 717 | -0.4% |
| Sycamore Academy Keene |
Private | 7.3 | 159 | +130.4% |
| Chisholm Trail Academy Keene |
Private | 7.4 | 162 | -1.8% |
| CLEARFORK ACADEMY SOUTH CLEBURNE |
Public · charter | 9.1 | 25 | — |
| GRANDVIEW H S GRANDVIEW |
Public | 9.2 | 414 | -3.0% |
| JCSSA GRANDVIEW |
Public | 9.3 | — | — |
| TEAM SCH CLEBURNE |
Public | 10.9 | 65 | +25.0% |