Rio Valley Charter School
Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Vista Oaks Charter School → Valley Robotics Academy → Middle College High → Pacific Law Academy → Health Careers Academy Hs → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+3.6%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~316 | +11 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~339 | +34 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~365 | +60 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Joaquin County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -19.0% vs. county -3.2% AND stability (77.8%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem.
72 of 324 students who enrolled at Rio Valley Charter School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (22.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Rio Valley Charter School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Lodi · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 19% (84→68 from 2024 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -11%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+3.6%/yr); projects to ~339 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Valley Charter School | Public | 305 | — | -19% |
| Peer-group median | 37.3% | -11% | ||
| Vista Oaks Charter School | Public | 307 | 4.2% | -3% |
| Valley Robotics Academy | Public | 288 | — | -48% |
| Middle College High | Public | 341 | 109.2% | +39% |
| Pacific Law Academy | Public | 221 | 10.7% | +27% |
| Health Careers Academy Hs | Public | 407 | 37.3% | -11% |
| Stockton High | Public | 230 | — | -28% |
| Stockton Early College Academy | Public | 446 | 64.2% | +14% |
| Independence School | Public | 140 | — | -19% |
| Jane Frederick High | Public | 183 | — | -10% |
| Elk Grove Charter | Public | 280 | — | -20% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UCLA → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Davis → | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |