Oakland Technical High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Oakland High School → Alameda High School → Galileo High → Encinal Junior/Senior High → El Cerrito High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,793 | -22 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,751 | -64 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,709 | -106 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Alameda County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment is shrinking 6.0× the county rate (school -3.6% vs. county +0.6%) with stability (90.4%) near the county median. Two problems compounding — the recruitment side is the higher-leverage starting point.
183 of 1,901 students who enrolled at Oakland Technical High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 11.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Oakland Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 41.5%
Federal: 15.1%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Oakland Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-1.5 pp vs. peer median (46.9%) · Ranked #6 of 9 similar schools
18.5%
46.9%
53.3%
45.4%
Higher than 86% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Oakland Technical High School's UC Reach of 45.4% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.5%; top 25% bar 32.0%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.3%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 57 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Oakland Technical High School's UC Reach is higher than 86% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Oakland Technical High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Oakland · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Oakland Technical High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 9): 45% vs. a peer median of 47%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 11 points since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 4% (474→457 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +8%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.2%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1751 by 2029 — about 64 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 64 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Technical High School | Public | 1815 | 45.4% | -4% |
| Peer-group median | 46.9% | +8% | ||
| Oakland High School | Public | 1624 | 33.5% | +10% |
| Alameda High School | Public | 1843 | 51.2% | +5% |
| Galileo High | Public | 1806 | — | -15% |
| Encinal Junior/Senior High | Public | 1342 | — | -16% |
| El Cerrito High School | Public | 1361 | 39.3% | -6% |
| Campolindo High School | Public | 1369 | 57.1% | +11% |
| Fremont High School | Public | 1194 | 9.8% | +83% |
| Skyline High School | Public | 1216 | 45.5% | -24% |
| Albany High School | Public | 1123 | 48.3% | +15% |
| Berkeley High School | Public | 3279 | 67.5% | +12% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.84 | 14.2% | 11.6% | +2.6pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.90 | 7.2% | 9.0% | -1.8pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.84 | 21.1% | 23.8% | -2.6pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.85 | 24.4% | 27.2% | -2.8pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.84 | 17.2% | 21.2% | -3.9pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 3.81 | 30.1% | 32.0% | -1.9pp | On target |
Where Oakland Technical High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (19.1% actual vs. 20.7% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 190 | 27 | 12 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 44.4% | 3.84 | 4.12 |
| UCLA → Elite | 167 | 12 | 9 | 7.2% | 2.7% | 75.0% | 3.90 | 4.22 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 194 | 41 | 9 | 21.1% | 9.4% | 22.0% | 3.84 | 4.20 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 164 | 40 | 5 | 24.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 3.85 | 4.19 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 151 | 26 | 6 | 17.2% | 5.9% | 23.1% | 3.84 | 4.16 |
| UC Davis → | 176 | 53 | 8 | 30.1% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 3.81 | 4.14 |