Nicolas Junior High
📄 Shareable scorecard →No UC admissions data on file for Nicolas Junior High.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-3.8%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~494 | -20 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~457 | -57 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~423 | -91 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Orange County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
63 of 584 students who enrolled at Nicolas Junior High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (10.8% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.
Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Nicolas Junior High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸At its recent rate (-3.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~457 by 2029 — about 57 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 57 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Junior High | Public | 514 | — | — |
| Peer-group median | — | — | ||
| Dr. Albert Schweitzer Leadership Academy | Public | 524 | — | — |
| Golden Hill School For Creative & Performing Arts | Public | 578 | — | — |
| Juliette Low School Of The Arts | Public | 453 | — | — |
| Valadez Middle School Academy | Public | 493 | — | — |
| Falcon Academy Of Science And Technology | Public | 522 | — | — |
| Fletcher Mandarin Language & Gate Academy | Public | 474 | — | — |
| Robert M. Pyles Stem Academy | Public | 602 | — | — |
| Brookhurst Junior High | Public | 690 | — | — |
| Orangeview Junior High | Public | 617 | — | — |
| Ball Junior High | Public | 714 | — | — |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →