Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Murrieta Mesa High School
Public · Murrieta · Riverside County · 2,026 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach · Class of 2025
13%
Higher than 34% of California high schools
On the peer median (13.8%)
· Ranked #7 of 11 similar schools
5-year UC Reach
2021 · 14.9%
2025 · 13.4%
-12%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
-9.5 pp
vs. Riverside County baseline (-3%)
~1897
5-yr projected enrollment (129 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach, Murrieta Mesa High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #7 of 11): 13% vs. a peer median of 14%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 5 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Murrieta Mesa High School is admitting at roughly +6 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.859) alone would predict (27% actual vs. 21% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 12% (565→496 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -4%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-2.2%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1897 by 2029 — about 129 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murrieta Valley High School | Public | 17.5% | -11% |
| Elsinore High School | Public | 10.1% | -4% |
| Santa Rosa Academy | Public | 2.5% | -9% |
| Liberty High | Public | 19.2% | +34% |
| Temecula Valley High School | Public | 24.9% | -2% |
| Paloma Valley High School | Public | 11.7% | -17% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Test Prep Gurus Intelligence by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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