Moreno Valley High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Canyon Springs High School → Rancho Verde High School → Vista Del Lago High School → John W North High School → Ramona High → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.4%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,059 | -29 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~2,001 | -87 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,946 | -142 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Riverside County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Tracking Riverside County on enrollment (-2.0% vs. -2.7%), but stability (82.1%) is below the county median. Retention is the levered fix. Chronic absenteeism is also at 30.1% (up +13.1 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
416 of 2,328 students who enrolled at Moreno Valley High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (17.9% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 13.1 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Moreno Valley Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 14.9%
Federal: 14.8%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Moreno Valley Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-2.9 pp vs. peer median (16.6%) · Ranked #8 of 10 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
13.7%
Higher than 36% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Moreno Valley High School's UC Reach of 13.7% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Moreno Valley High School's UC Reach is higher than 36% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Moreno Valley High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Moreno Valley · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Moreno Valley High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #8 of 10): 14% vs. a peer median of 17%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 2% (540→529 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -5%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.4%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2001 by 2029 — about 87 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 87 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreno Valley High School | Public | 2088 | 13.7% | -2% |
| Peer-group median | 16.6% | -5% | ||
| Canyon Springs High School | Public | 2213 | 16.6% | -8% |
| Rancho Verde High School | Public | 2091 | 22.5% | -37% |
| Vista Del Lago High School | Public | 1891 | 6.6% | +10% |
| John W North High School | Public | 1989 | 17.8% | -8% |
| Ramona High | Public | 2096 | 15.9% | +9% |
| Perris High School | Public | 1985 | 10.3% | -17% |
| Valley View High School | Public | 2786 | 15.5% | -2% |
| Orange Vista High School | Public | 2332 | 20.3% | +25% |
| Polytechnic High | Public | 2497 | — | +1% |
| Redlands High School | Public | 2179 | 39.5% | -14% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.85 | 11.8% | 11.6% | +0.1pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.69 | 7.7% | 9.4% | -1.7pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.63 | 42.9% | 30.7% | +12.2pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.57 | 45.5% | 30.8% | +14.6pp | Over |
| UC Irvine | 3.64 | 22.4% | 16.8% | +5.6pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.53 | 33.3% | 33.1% | +0.2pp | On target |
Where Moreno Valley High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (23.8% actual vs. 19.1% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 34 | 4 | — | 11.8% | 0.8% | — | 3.85 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 65 | 5 | 4 | 7.7% | 1.1% | 80.0% | 3.69 | 4.24 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 49 | 21 | 5 | 42.9% | 4.4% | 23.8% | 3.63 | 4.08 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 22 | 10 | — | 45.5% | 2.1% | — | 3.57 | 4.08 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 85 | 19 | 4 | 22.4% | 4.0% | 21.1% | 3.64 | 4.13 |
| UC Davis → | 18 | 6 | — | 33.3% | 1.3% | — | 3.53 | 4.06 |