Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Modesto High School
Public · Modesto · Stanislaus County · 2,205 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach · Class of 2025
13%
Higher than 33% of California high schools
+1.4 pp above peer median (11.7%)
· Ranked #5 of 10 similar schools
5-year UC Reach
2021 · 15.4%
2025 · 13.1%
+4%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
+2.1 pp
vs. Stanislaus County baseline (+2%)
~2090
5-yr projected enrollment (115 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach, Modesto High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #5 of 10): 13% vs. a peer median of 12%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 4 points since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Modesto High School is admitting at roughly +12 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.851) alone would predict (34% actual vs. 22% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 4% (544→568 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +7%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2090 by 2029 — about 115 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Johansen High | Public | — | +20% |
| Thomas Downey High School | Public | 9.1% | +28% |
| James C Enochs High School | Public | 25.9% | -2% |
| Central Valley High School | Public | 11.1% | +38% |
| Grace M Davis High School | Public | 11.7% | +7% |
| John H Pitman High School | Public | 15.5% | +2% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Test Prep Gurus Intelligence by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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