Marco Antonio Firebaugh Hs

• ▸On UC Reach, Marco Antonio Firebaugh Hs sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 9): 24% vs. a peer median of 16%.
• ▸Its UC Reach has risen 9 points since 2018.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Marco Antonio Firebaugh Hs is admitting at roughly +11 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.822) alone would predict (29% actual vs. 19% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 1% (352→350 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -15%.
• ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Los Angeles County's senior population shrank 8% over the same window — Marco Antonio Firebaugh Hs only shrank 1%. So Marco Antonio Firebaugh Hs picked up about 8 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
• ▸At its recent rate (-0.6%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1610 by 2029 — about 29 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Test Prep Gurus Intelligence by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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