Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Manual Arts Senior High → Dr Maya Angelou Community Hs → Thirty-Second Street Usc Performing Arts → Youthbuild Charter School Of California → Los Angeles Senior High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.8%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~886 | -16 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~855 | -47 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~826 | -76 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
+8.2 pp above peer median (18.9%) · Ranked #1 of 4 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
27.1%
Higher than 68% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Manual Arts Senior High School's UC Reach of 27.1% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 76 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Manual Arts Senior High School's UC Reach is higher than 68% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Manual Arts Senior High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Los Angeles · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Manual Arts Senior High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 4): 27% vs. a peer median of 19%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 8 points since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Manual Arts Senior High School is admitting at roughly +10 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.703) alone would predict (30% actual vs. 20% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 6% (230→216 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +10%.
- ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Los Angeles County's senior population shrank 8% over the same window — Manual Arts Senior High School only shrank 6%. So Manual Arts Senior High School picked up about 2 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~855 by 2029 — about 47 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 47 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manual Arts Senior High School | Public | 902 | 27.1% | -6% |
| Peer-group median | 18.9% | +10% | ||
| Manual Arts Senior High | Public | 902 | — | -33% |
| Dr Maya Angelou Community Hs | Public | 909 | 18.8% | +61% |
| Thirty-Second Street Usc Performing Arts | Public | 825 | — | -14% |
| Youthbuild Charter School Of California | Public | 881 | — | -60% |
| Los Angeles Senior High School | Public | 891 | 20.2% | +14% |
| Los Angeles Senior High | Public | 891 | — | +6% |
| West Adams Preparatory Hs | Public | 799 | 18.9% | -33% |
| Augustus Hawkins High | Public | 1060 | — | +168% |
| New Open World Academy K-12 | Public | 791 | — | +17% |
| Girls Academic Leadership Academy, Dr. Michelle King School For Sci, Tech, Eng And Math | Public | 712 | — | +84% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.89 | 17.4% | 11.7% | +5.7pp | Over |
| UCLA | 3.69 | 14.8% | 9.4% | +5.4pp | Over |
| UC San Diego | 3.64 | 35.7% | 30.0% | +5.7pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.61 | 34.6% | 28.9% | +5.7pp | Over |
| UC Irvine | 3.72 | 27.8% | 18.1% | +9.7pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.72 | 66.7% | 32.1% | +34.6pp | Over |
Where Manual Arts Senior High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 9.9 points above what their GPAs predict (30.0% actual vs. 20.2% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 23 | 4 | — | 17.4% | 1.6% | — | 3.89 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 61 | 9 | 7 | 14.8% | 3.5% | 77.8% | 3.69 | 4.13 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 42 | 15 | — | 35.7% | 5.8% | — | 3.64 | 4.04 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 26 | 9 | — | 34.6% | 3.5% | — | 3.61 | 4.05 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 54 | 15 | — | 27.8% | 5.8% | — | 3.72 | 4.03 |
| UC Davis → | 27 | 18 | 8 | 66.7% | 7.0% | 44.4% | 3.72 | 3.87 |