Madison High
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Most similar nearby schools
Clairemont High School → Preuss School UCSD → High Tech High Mesa → Health Sciences High And Middle College → Canyon Hills High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-3.8%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~725 | -28 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~671 | -82 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~622 | -131 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Diego County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Families who enroll at Madison High stay (91.3% stability — elite). But enrollment is dropping 2.1× the county rate (school -16.0% vs. county -7.8%). The audit question isn't why students leave — it's why fewer families are choosing to enroll in the first place.
71 of 816 students who enrolled at Madison High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (8.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 8.4 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — San Diego Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 65.2%
Federal: 10.6%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the San Diego Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-19.3 pp vs. peer median (27.6%) · Ranked #8 of 9 similar schools
18.5%
27.6%
53.3%
8.3%
Higher than 13% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Madison High's UC Reach of 8.3% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Against similar schools, Madison High trails the peer-group median (27.6%) — even though it looks strong vs. the state average.
Overall, Madison High's UC Reach is higher than 13% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Madison High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Madison High sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #8 of 9): 8% vs. a peer median of 28%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 13 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 16% (243→204 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -13%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-3.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~671 by 2029 — about 82 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 82 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison High | Public | 753 | 8.3% | -16% |
| Peer-group median | 27.6% | -13% | ||
| Clairemont High School | Public | 804 | 12.0% | -6% |
| Preuss School UCSD | Public | 825 | 86.1% | +17% |
| High Tech High Mesa | Public | 432 | 38.8% | +3% |
| Health Sciences High And Middle College | Public | 552 | — | -13% |
| Canyon Hills High School | Public | 1160 | 20.6% | -26% |
| John Muir Language Academy | Public | 418 | — | — |
| LA Jolla High | Public | 1147 | 62.5% | -22% |
| Mission Bay High | Public | 1280 | 26.0% | +38% |
| Coronado High School | Public | 990 | 29.3% | -14% |
| Charter School of San Diego | Public | 1268 | 2.7% | -77% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego | 3.86 | 37.9% | 23.2% | +14.7pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.81 | 54.5% | 26.6% | +27.9pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 29 | 11 | 7 | 37.9% | 5.4% | 63.6% | 3.86 | 4.23 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 11 | 6 | — | 54.5% | 2.9% | — | 3.81 | 4.19 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | — |
| UC Davis → | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | — |