Henry J Kaiser High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Jurupa Hills High School → Jurupa Valley High School → Bloomington High School → Grand Terrace High School At The Ray Abril Jr. Educational Complex → Options for Youth - Acton → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-3.9%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,493 | -60 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,379 | -174 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,274 | -279 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Bernardino County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Henry J Kaiser High School's enrollment is shrinking far faster than San Bernardino County (school -20.0% vs. county +0.0%). Stability of 89.4% means every family you keep is one fewer; the leverage is at recruitment, not retention. This is the case the high stability number alone would hide.
186 of 1,754 students who enrolled at Henry J Kaiser High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (10.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 13.2 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Fontana Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 13.3%
Federal: 24.0%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Fontana Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+5.6 pp above peer median (11.1%) · Ranked #1 of 8 similar schools
18.5%
11.1%
53.3%
16.7%
Higher than 46% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Henry J Kaiser High School's UC Reach of 16.7% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
In San Bernardino County, where the local median is just 12.6%, this score is unusually strong for its immediate market.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 86 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Henry J Kaiser High School's UC Reach is higher than 46% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Henry J Kaiser High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Fontana · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Henry J Kaiser High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 8): 17% vs. a peer median of 11%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 20% (549→439 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -17%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-3.9%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1379 by 2029 — about 174 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 174 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry J Kaiser High School | Public | 1553 | 16.7% | -20% |
| Peer-group median | 11.1% | -17% | ||
| Jurupa Hills High School | Public | 1701 | 13.5% | -19% |
| Jurupa Valley High School | Public | 1706 | 10.7% | +8% |
| Bloomington High School | Public | 1776 | 7.7% | -18% |
| Grand Terrace High School At The Ray Abril Jr. Educational Complex | Public | 1578 | — | -33% |
| Options for Youth - Acton | Public | 2085 | 4.5% | +1077% |
| Fontana A. B. Miller High | Public | 1887 | — | -16% |
| Colony High School | Public | 2030 | 12.1% | +7% |
| Norte Vista Senior High School | Public | 1844 | 11.1% | -11% |
| Norte Vista High | Public | 1844 | — | -17% |
| Rubidoux High School | Public | 1194 | 13.9% | -25% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.86 | 25.0% | 11.6% | +13.4pp | Over |
| UCLA | 3.81 | 7.2% | 9.0% | -1.7pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.68 | 27.1% | 28.7% | -1.6pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.76 | 38.5% | 26.4% | +12.1pp | Over |
| UC Irvine | 3.70 | 16.7% | 17.7% | -1.1pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 3.76 | 53.3% | 32.0% | +21.3pp | Over |
Where Henry J Kaiser High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (23.8% actual vs. 20.0% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 32 | 8 | 5 | 25.0% | 1.7% | 62.5% | 3.86 | 4.09 |
| UCLA → Elite | 69 | 5 | 3 | 7.2% | 1.1% | 60.0% | 3.81 | 4.24 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 70 | 19 | — | 27.1% | 4.1% | — | 3.68 | 4.17 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 39 | 15 | — | 38.5% | 3.2% | — | 3.76 | 4.17 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 84 | 14 | 4 | 16.7% | 3.0% | 28.6% | 3.70 | 4.07 |
| UC Davis → | 30 | 16 | — | 53.3% | 3.5% | — | 3.76 | 4.00 |