Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Frontier High School
Public · Bakersfield · Kern County · 2,098 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach · Class of 2025
8%
Higher than 13% of California high schools
On the peer median (9.3%)
· Ranked #7 of 11 similar schools
5-year UC Reach
2021 · 12.0%
2025 · 8.5%
-12%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
-25.2 pp
vs. Kern County baseline (+13%)
~2024
5-yr projected enrollment (74 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach, Frontier High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #7 of 11): 8% vs. a peer median of 9%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 2 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Frontier High School is admitting at roughly +12 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.974) alone would predict (40% actual vs. 28% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 12% (592→518 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +8%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.2%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2024 by 2029 — about 74 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Centennial High School | Public | 9.4% | +4% |
| North High School | Public | 5.4% | +36% |
| Liberty High School | Public | 10.6% | +26% |
| West High School | Public | 9.2% | +8% |
| Stockdale High School | Public | 25.3% | +8% |
| South High School | Public | 11.5% | +6% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Test Prep Gurus Intelligence by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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