Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Granada Islamic School → California Crosspoint High School → Woodside Priory School → Basis Independent Fremont Upper Sch → Cristo Rey San Jose Jesuit Hs → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-5.6%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~383 | -23 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~341 | -65 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~304 | -102 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
-35.2 pp vs. peer median (69.7%) · Ranked #9 of 9 similar schools
18.5%
69.7%
53.3%
34.5%
Higher than 78% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Fremont Christian High School's UC Reach of 34.5% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.5%; top 25% bar 32.0%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.3%.
Against similar schools, Fremont Christian High School trails the peer-group median (69.7%) — even though it looks strong vs. the state average.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 68 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Fremont Christian High School's UC Reach is higher than 78% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Fremont Christian High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · Other religious · Fremont · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Fremont Christian High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #9 of 9): 34% vs. a peer median of 70%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 20 points since 2020 — worth watching.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Fremont Christian High School is admitting at roughly -6 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (3.875) alone would predict (17% actual vs. 23% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 42% (50→29 from 2020 to 2025), trailing the peer-group median of -1%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-5.6%/yr), enrollment projects to ~341 by 2028 — about 65 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 65 fewer students. At a tuition of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual tuition revenue at risk.
Estimate seeded by other religious private school typical — wide range: Jewish day $25k–35k, Lutheran/Christian $10k–18k. NCES doesn't publish per-school tuition; adjust to your school's actual figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremont Christian High School | Private · Other religious | 406 | 34.5% | -42% |
| Peer-group median | 69.7% | -1% | ||
| Granada Islamic School | Private · Other religious | 456 | — | +450% |
| California Crosspoint High School | Private · Other religious | 536 | 83.3% | -36% |
| Woodside Priory School | Private · Other religious | 436 | 70.3% | +14% |
| Basis Independent Fremont Upper Sch | Private · secular | 350 | 212.5% | +23% |
| Cristo Rey San Jose Jesuit Hs | Private · Catholic | 435 | 35.2% | -14% |
| Notre Dame High School | Private · Catholic | 356 | 69.0% | -34% |
| Castilleja School | Private · secular | 416 | 113.7% | -15% |
| Saint Joseph-Notre Dame Hs | Private · Catholic | 395 | 48.8% | -27% |
| Berean Christian High School | Private · Other religious | 408 | 47.9% | +12% |
| Rise Academy | Private · Other religious | 225 | — | +25% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2024 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2025.
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA? Based on 2024 (latest GPA available).
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.86 | 13.0% | 12.8% | +0.2pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.87 | 14.3% | 28.1% | -13.8pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 3.89 | 19.0% | 22.7% | -3.6pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 3.88 | 22.7% | 30.6% | -7.9pp | Under |
Where Fremont Christian High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 6.2 points below what their GPAs predict (17.2% actual vs. 23.4% expected), based on 2024 data.
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '24 | Avg GPA (Adm) '24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 12 | 4 | — | 33.3% | 13.8% | — | 3.84 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 15 | 3 | — | 20.0% | 10.3% | — | 3.89 | — |
| UC Davis → | 15 | 3 | — | 20.0% | 10.3% | — | 3.88 | 4.22 |