Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Golden Valley High School → South High School → Mira Monte High School → West High School → Foothill High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+33.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,746 | +684 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~4,870 | +2808 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~8,638 | +6576 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Kern County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
On the surface Del Oro High looks fine — enrollment is +23.4% vs. Kern County +1.5%, and 84.4% of students stay through year-end. But <strong>chronic absenteeism is at 29.8%, up -1.9 pts since 2022-23 (county median 19.2%). Disengagement leads departure — families pull back from the day-to-day before they formally leave. The demand signal usually follows within 2–3 years.
330 of 2,118 students who enrolled at Del Oro High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (15.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is in the typical CA HS range. Worth monitoring alongside the demand and retention signals above.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Kern High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 25.3%
Federal: 12.7%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Kern High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-6.5 pp vs. peer median (9.4%) · Ranked #11 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
9.4%
53.3%
2.9%
Higher than 1% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Del Oro High's UC Reach of 2.9% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Del Oro High's UC Reach is higher than 1% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Del Oro High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Del Oro High sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #11 of 11): 3% vs. a peer median of 9%.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 23% (376→464 from 2025 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +8%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+33.2%/yr); projects to ~4870 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Oro High | Public | 2062 | 2.9% | +23% |
| Peer-group median | 9.4% | +8% | ||
| Golden Valley High School | Public | 2153 | 12.5% | -3% |
| South High School | Public | 2092 | 11.5% | +6% |
| Mira Monte High School | Public | 2025 | 9.6% | +3% |
| West High School | Public | 2188 | 9.2% | +8% |
| Foothill High School | Public | 1990 | 5.0% | +8% |
| East Bakersfield High School | Public | 2215 | 8.4% | +5% |
| Ridgeview High School | Public | 2530 | 12.3% | +9% |
| North High School | Public | 2112 | 5.4% | +36% |
| Independence High | Public | 2415 | 7.8% | +18% |
| Stockdale High School | Public | 2366 | 25.3% | +8% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego | 3.80 | 27.3% | 25.1% | +2.2pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.62 | 18.8% | 28.9% | -10.1pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 3.88 | 41.7% | 22.2% | +19.4pp | Over |
Where Del Oro High sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (28.2% actual vs. 25.7% expected).
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 11 | 3 | — | 27.3% | 0.8% | — | 3.80 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 16 | 3 | — | 18.8% | 0.8% | — | 3.62 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 12 | 5 | — | 41.7% | 1.3% | — | 3.88 | 4.16 |
| UC Davis → | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | — |