Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Garces Memorial High School → Heritage Christian School → Immaculate Heart High School → Milken Community School → Agbu Manoogian-Demirdjian Sch → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+6.7%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~708 | +45 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~806 | +143 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~918 | +255 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
-9.3 pp vs. peer median (43.4%) · Ranked #6 of 10 similar schools
18.5%
43.4%
53.3%
34.1%
Higher than 77% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Bakersfield Christian Hs's UC Reach of 34.1% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.5%; top 25% bar 32.0%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.3%.
In Kern County, where the local median is just 9.6%, this score is unusually strong for its immediate market.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 69 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Bakersfield Christian Hs's UC Reach is higher than 77% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Bakersfield Christian Hs — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · Other religious · Bakersfield · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Bakersfield Christian Hs sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 10): 34% vs. a peer median of 43%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 22 points since 2020.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 80% (91→164 from 2020 to 2025), outpacing the peer-group median of +6%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+6.7%/yr); projects to ~806 by 2028.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakersfield Christian Hs | Private · Other religious | 663 | 34.1% | +80% |
| Peer-group median | 43.4% | +6% | ||
| Garces Memorial High School | Private · Catholic | 509 | 44.4% | +12% |
| Heritage Christian School | Private · Other religious | 745 | — | +7% |
| Immaculate Heart High School | Private · Catholic | 673 | 30.9% | -22% |
| Milken Community School | Private · Other religious | 778 | 68.2% | +6% |
| Agbu Manoogian-Demirdjian Sch | Private · Other religious | 809 | 64.3% | +17% |
| Santa Clarita Christian School | Private · Other religious | 538 | 8.8% | -18% |
| Rose and Alex Pilibos Armenian | Private · Other religious | 862 | 45.9% | +19% |
| Paraclete High School | Private · Catholic | 561 | 43.4% | -4% |
| Saint Genevieve High School | Private · Catholic | 547 | 19.0% | +25% |
| Bishop Alemany High School | Private · Catholic | 810 | 13.2% | -32% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2024 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2025.
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA? Based on 2024 (latest GPA available).
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.86 | 13.0% | 12.9% | +0.2pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.84 | 28.6% | 25.3% | +3.2pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.81 | 22.2% | 27.4% | -5.2pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 3.83 | 30.0% | 21.9% | +8.1pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.86 | 39.3% | 30.6% | +8.6pp | Over |
Where Bakersfield Christian Hs sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (26.7% actual vs. 24.4% expected), based on 2024 data.
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '24 | Avg GPA (Adm) '24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 27 | 5 | — | 18.5% | 3.0% | — | 3.92 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 31 | 10 | — | 32.3% | 6.1% | — | 3.84 | 4.20 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 35 | 14 | — | 40.0% | 8.5% | — | 3.81 | 4.21 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 29 | 12 | 3 | 41.4% | 7.3% | 25.0% | 3.83 | 4.04 |
| UC Davis → | 22 | 15 | — | 68.2% | 9.1% | — | 3.86 | 4.17 |