The Kinkaid School - Head Of School Office
Private
K–12 / combined
Nonsectarian
Houston, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 1,375 in 2018 to
1,360 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-1.1%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.3%/year, projecting from 2022's 1,360 students:
2023
1,356
2025
1,349
2027
1,341
≈ 19 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 19 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $304,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hadi School Of Accelerative Learning Houston |
Private | 0.8 | 321 | +56.6% |
| St Francis Episcopal School Houston |
Private | 0.8 | 696 | +10.1% |
| Second Baptist School Houston |
Private | 0.9 | 955 | -0.6% |
| WISDOM H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.5 | 1,965 | -3.3% |
| T H ROGERS SCHOOL HOUSTON |
Public | 1.8 | 31 | — |
| SOUTHWEST PUBLIC SCHOOLS COLLEGE &CAREER PREP ACAD HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.8 | 462 | +23.5% |
| MEMORIAL H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.3 | 2,636 | +4.1% |
| The Saint Constantine School Houston |
Private | 2.3 | 322 | — |