Providence Classical School
Private
K–12 / combined
Other religious
Spring, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 390 in 2020 to
357 in 2022
— over 2 years.
-8.5%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.3%/year, projecting from 2022's 357 students:
2023
342
2025
313
2027
286
≈ 71 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 71 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $1,136,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLEIN H S KLEIN |
Public | 1.4 | 3,366 | +5.4% |
| KLEIN THERAPEUTIC AND READINESS CENTER KLEIN |
Public | 3.0 | — | — |
| KLEIN CAIN H S KLEIN |
Public | 3.1 | 3,922 | +2.4% |
| KLEIN COLLINS H S KLEIN |
Public | 3.4 | 3,360 | +0.5% |
| SST CHAMPIONS HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.7 | 284 | +323.9% |
| KLEIN OAK H S KLEIN |
Public | 4.1 | 3,766 | +4.8% |
| Frassati Catholic High School Spring |
Private | 4.2 | 261 | +0.8% |
| PREMIER H S-HOUSTON (CHAMPIONS) HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 4.2 | 109 | +7.9% |