Concordia Lutheran High School
Private
Other religious
Tomball, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 566 in 2018 to
545 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-3.7%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.9%/year, projecting from 2022's 545 students:
2023
540
2025
530
2027
520
≈ 25 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 25 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $400,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COMQUEST ACADEMY TOMBALL |
Public · charter | 0.4 | 18 | — |
| TOMBALL STAR ACADEMY TOMBALL |
Public | 0.5 | 402 | +13.9% |
| TOMBALL H S TOMBALL |
Public | 1.6 | 3,227 | +26.0% |
| ISCHOOL-CREEKSIDE TOMBALL |
Public · charter | 4.3 | 130 | +128.1% |
| TOMBALL MEMORIAL H S TOMBALL |
Public | 4.7 | 3,213 | +16.6% |
| KLEIN OAK H S KLEIN |
Public | 5.2 | 3,766 | +4.8% |
| The Woodlands Preporatory School Tomball |
Private | 5.4 | 27 | — |
| KLEIN CAIN H S KLEIN |
Public | 6.0 | 3,922 | +2.4% |