Northstar School
Private
K–12 / combined
Nonsectarian
Arlington, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -9.4%/year, projecting from 2022's 29 students:
2023
26
2025
22
2027
18
≈ 11 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $176,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Adventist Academy Arlington |
Private | 0.4 | 281 | -21.5% |
| Grace Preparatory Academy Arlington |
Private | 0.5 | 503 | +21.5% |
| MARTIN H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 1.2 | 3,535 | -5.3% |
| KENNEDALE H S KENNEDALE |
Public | 2.2 | 943 | -5.1% |
| St Paul'S Preparatory Academy Arlington |
Private | 2.4 | 184 | -15.6% |
| ARLINGTON COLLEGE AND CAREER H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 2.7 | 340 | +10.4% |
| Flint Academy Dalworthington Gardens |
Private | 2.7 | 84 | +9.1% |
| BASEPOINT ACADEMY - ARLINGTON ARLINGTON |
Public · charter | 3.4 | 8 | — |