WICHITA COUNTY JUVENILE JUSTICE AEP
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -30.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 15 students:
≈ 13 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,482 per student in district revenue, the 13 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $149,266/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DENVER CTR WICHITA FALLS |
Public | 1.2 | — | — |
| PREMIER H S - WICHITA FALLS WICHITA FALLS |
Public · charter | 2.8 | 88 | -20.7% |
| LEGACY H S WICHITA FALLS |
Public | 3.2 | 1,857 | — |
| Wichita Christian School Wichita Falls |
Private | 3.2 | 197 | -3.0% |
| PAINT ROCK FRONTIER ACADEMY WICHITA FALLS |
Public | 3.4 | 4 | — |
| CITY VIEW JUNIOR/SENIOR HIGH WICHITA FALLS |
Public | 3.7 | 352 | +16.2% |
| CAREER EDUCATION CENTER WICHITA FALLS |
Public | 3.9 | — | — |
| Christ Academy Wichita Falls |
Private | 5.0 | 178 | -29.9% |