WACO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,885 students:
≈ 125 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,305 per student in district revenue, the 125 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,788,125/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagle Christian Academy Waco |
Private | 1.2 | 149 | +15.5% |
| Reicher Catholic High School Waco |
Private | 1.7 | 316 | +115.0% |
| St Louis Catholic School Waco |
Private | 1.7 | 315 | +35.8% |
| CHALLENGE ACADEMY WACO |
Public | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| CHALLENGE ACADEMY WACO |
Public | 2.1 | 43 | — |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION - WACO BEVERLY HILLS |
Public · charter | 2.5 | 303 | +17.9% |
| METHODIST CHILDREN'S HOME WACO |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 64 | +1.6% |
| WACO CTR FOR YOUTH WACO |
Public | 2.7 | 52 | — |