VALLEY VIEW H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 257 students:
≈ 25 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,288 per student in district revenue, the 25 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $382,200/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERA SCHOOL ERA |
Public | 7.5 | 152 | -2.6% |
| SANGER H S SANGER |
Public | 7.7 | 827 | +6.2% |
| LINDA TUTT H S SANGER |
Public | 8.4 | 21 | — |
| GAINESVILLE H S GAINESVILLE |
Public | 8.5 | 876 | +1.5% |
| LONE STAR H S NORTH (TJJD) AUSTIN |
Public | 10.8 | 162 | +57.3% |
| DAEP GAINESVILLE |
Public | 11.2 | 5 | — |
| LINDSAY H S LINDSAY |
Public | 11.4 | 157 | +1.9% |
| PILOT POINT H S PILOT POINT |
Public | 13.3 | 482 | +7.8% |