ALVIN V ANDERSON RISE ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 83 students:
≈ 10 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,213 per student in district revenue, the 10 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $132,130/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TYLER ISD EARLY COLLEGE H S TYLER |
Public | 0.5 | 447 | +20.2% |
| All Saints Episcopal School Tyler |
Private | 1.2 | 616 | +10.4% |
| Good Shepherd School Tyler |
Private | 1.6 | 140 | +70.7% |
| PREMIER H S OF TYLER TYLER |
Public · charter | 1.9 | 38 | — |
| TEXASWORKS - TYLER TYLER |
Public · charter | 1.9 | 6 | — |
| TYLER H S TYLER |
Public | 2.1 | 2,148 | +1.0% |
| TYLER LEGACY H S TYLER |
Public | 3.2 | 2,770 | +11.4% |
| Bishop Tk Gorman Catholic School Tyler |
Private | 3.4 | 219 | — |