RACE (ROUGHNECK ALTERNATIVE CENTER FOR EDUCATION)
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -24.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 3 students:
≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,062 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $32,124/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUNDOWN H S SUNDOWN |
Public | 0.0 | 184 | -2.1% |
| LEVELLAND H S LEVELLAND |
Public | 11.6 | 798 | +10.7% |
| WHITEFACE SCHOOL WHITEFACE |
Public | 12.4 | 98 | +11.4% |
| MEADOW SCHOOL MEADOW |
Public | 17.9 | 76 | -11.6% |
| ROPES SCHOOL ROPESVILLE |
Public | 19.5 | 155 | +9.9% |
| SMYER SCHOOLS SMYER |
Public | 20.6 | 125 | -13.8% |
| WHITHARRAL SCHOOL WHITHARRAL |
Public | 21.3 | 54 | +0.0% |
| BROWNFIELD EDUCATION CENTER BROWNFIELD |
Public | 22.9 | 29 | — |