SPRING EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 391 students:
≈ 18 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,113 per student in district revenue, the 18 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $236,034/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIMITZ H S HOUSTON |
Public | 0.6 | 2,651 | -3.8% |
| RICHEY ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public | 2.4 | 29 | — |
| RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY HOUSTON (SUBURBAN) HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.5 | 157 | -1.9% |
| ANDY DEKANEY H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.5 | 2,485 | +12.1% |
| WESTFIELD H S HOUSTON |
Public | 4.0 | 2,264 | -16.6% |
| Founders Christian School Spring |
Private | 4.3 | 139 | — |
| SPRING H S SPRING |
Public | 4.4 | 2,594 | -8.4% |
| LEGACY SCHOOL OF SPORT SCIENCES SPRING |
Public · charter | 4.8 | 286 | +22.2% |