ALLISON L STEELE E L C
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -9.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 87 students:
≈ 34 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,136 per student in district revenue, the 34 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $378,624/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAMUEL CLEMENS H S SCHERTZ |
Public | 0.9 | 2,589 | +0.8% |
| First Baptist Academy Of Universal City Universal City |
Private | 1.6 | 256 | -26.9% |
| RANDOLPH H S RANDOLPH A F B |
Public | 2.1 | 464 | +1.1% |
| BOYSVILLE CONVERSE |
Public · charter | 2.9 | 10 | — |
| JUDSON EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY LIVE OAK |
Public | 3.0 | 438 | +11.7% |
| JUDSON H S CONVERSE |
Public | 3.5 | 2,498 | -8.0% |
| JUDSON CARE ACADEMY CONVERSE |
Public | 3.6 | 62 | -11.4% |
| FOUNDERS CLASSICAL ACADEMY OF SCHERTZ SCHERTZ |
Public · charter | 3.6 | 138 | +14.0% |