CARVER ALTER LRN CTR
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -15.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 31 students:
≈ 18 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $10,881 per student in district revenue, the 18 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $195,858/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENTRAL H S SAN ANGELO |
Public | 0.5 | 2,985 | -4.5% |
| Ambleside School Of San Angelo San Angelo |
Private | 0.6 | 83 | +36.1% |
| Cornerstone Christian School San Angelo |
Private | 1.1 | 191 | +44.7% |
| PREMIER H S - SAN ANGELO SAN ANGELO |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 180 | +35.3% |
| TEXASWORKS - SAN ANGELO SAN ANGELO |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 39 | — |
| LAKE VIEW H S SAN ANGELO |
Public | 2.5 | 1,072 | -0.2% |
| Trinity Lutheran School San Angelo |
Private | 3.9 | 98 | -4.9% |
| TEXAS LEADERSHIP OF SAN ANGELO SAN ANGELO |
Public · charter | 4.1 | 415 | +19.6% |