RAYBURN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 208 students:
≈ 36 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,902 per student in district revenue, the 36 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $500,472/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BONHAM H S BONHAM |
Public | 13.2 | 591 | +16.6% |
| DODD CITY SCHOOL DODD CITY |
Public | 13.3 | 91 | -6.2% |
| ECTOR H S ECTOR |
Public | 16.5 | 65 | +8.3% |
| HONEY GROVE H S HONEY GROVE |
Public | 17.1 | 221 | +1.8% |
| SAVOY H S SAVOY |
Public | 18.7 | 81 | +6.6% |
| BELLS H S BELLS |
Public | 19.7 | 318 | +10.0% |
| WHITEWRIGHT H S WHITEWRIGHT |
Public | 24.8 | 222 | -7.1% |
| PATHWAYS H S DENISON |
Public | 25.0 | 62 | — |