S AND S CONS H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 301 students:
≈ 16 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,444 per student in district revenue, the 16 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $247,104/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WHITESBORO H S WHITESBORO |
Public | 4.3 | 508 | +9.2% |
| COLLINSVILLE H S COLLINSVILLE |
Public | 8.6 | 171 | +8.9% |
| CALLISBURG H S CALLISBURG |
Public | 9.6 | 327 | -4.4% |
| TRI CO JUVENILE DETENT DENISON |
Public | 10.9 | 15 | — |
| JEFFERSON LEARNING CTR DENISON |
Public | 11.5 | 82 | +54.7% |
| Texoma Christian School Sherman |
Private | 12.1 | 241 | -18.3% |
| POTTSBORO H S POTTSBORO |
Public | 12.9 | 460 | +1.3% |
| SHERMAN H S SHERMAN |
Public | 13.4 | 2,143 | +0.7% |