RULE SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 138 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,206 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $145,648/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HASKELL H S HASKELL |
Public | 9.4 | 156 | +6.8% |
| PAINT CREEK SCHOOL HASKELL |
Public | 15.0 | 32 | — |
| KNOX CITY SCHOOL KNOX CITY |
Public | 17.4 | 62 | -1.6% |
| STAMFORD H S STAMFORD |
Public | 17.5 | 173 | -13.9% |
| ASPERMONT H S ASPERMONT |
Public | 19.2 | 59 | +0.0% |
| LUEDERS-AVOCA H S AVOCA |
Public | 24.0 | 28 | — |
| MUNDAY SECONDARY MUNDAY |
Public | 24.3 | 126 | +72.6% |
| HAMLIN COLLEGIATE H S HAMLIN |
Public · charter | 24.9 | 133 | +13.7% |