SUCCESS H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -12.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 221 students:
≈ 110 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,040 per student in district revenue, the 110 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,324,400/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round Rock Christian Academy Round Rock |
Private | 1.5 | 567 | +24.9% |
| Covenant Community Schools Round Rock |
Private | 1.8 | 45 | — |
| CEDAR RIDGE H S ROUND ROCK |
Public | 1.8 | 2,713 | -1.4% |
| GOALS ROUND ROCK |
Public | 1.8 | — | — |
| ROUND ROCK H S ROUND ROCK |
Public | 1.9 | 3,824 | +2.8% |
| STONY POINT H S ROUND ROCK |
Public | 2.4 | 2,508 | -3.7% |
| MERIDIAN WORLD SCHOOL LLC ROUND ROCK |
Public · charter | 3.1 | 403 | +6.3% |
| ROUND ROCK OPPORT CTR DAEP ROUND ROCK |
Public | 3.5 | 51 | -12.1% |