RIO HONDO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 475 students:
≈ 61 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,480 per student in district revenue, the 61 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $883,280/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Military Academy Harlingen |
Private | 6.1 | 225 | +2.3% |
| HARLINGEN SCHOOL OF HEALTH PROFESSIONS HARLINGEN |
Public | 6.6 | 386 | +29.5% |
| IDEA COLLEGE PREPARATORY SAN BENITO SAN BENITO |
Public · charter | 7.0 | 405 | +8.0% |
| CAMERON CO J J A E P SAN BENITO |
Public | 7.3 | 6 | — |
| CAMERON CO J J A E P SAN BENITO |
Public | 7.3 | 4 | — |
| CAMERON CO J J A E P PORT ISABEL |
Public | 7.3 | 3 | — |
| CAMERON CO J J A E P SAN BENITO |
Public | 7.3 | 8 | — |
| HARLINGEN COLLEGIATE H S HARLINGEN |
Public | 7.3 | 353 | +6.0% |