PEARCE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,317 students:
≈ 180 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,625 per student in district revenue, the 180 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,452,500/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIONEER TECHNOLOGY AND ARTS ACADEMY NORTH DALLAS DALLAS |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 46 | — |
| RICHARDSON H S RICHARDSON |
Public | 1.4 | 2,669 | -4.3% |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION - DALLAS DALLAS |
Public · charter | 1.8 | 243 | +18.0% |
| Fairhill School Dallas |
Private | 2.0 | 90 | -44.4% |
| Texas Torah Institute Dallas |
Private | 2.2 | 41 | — |
| Shelton School Dallas |
Private | 2.4 | 1,023 | +15.1% |
| Parish Episcopal School Dallas |
Private | 2.5 | 1,090 | +1.1% |
| The Einstein School Of Plano Plano |
Private | 2.6 | 187 | +19.9% |