PRAIRILAND H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 283 students:
≈ 29 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,660 per student in district revenue, the 29 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $367,140/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARIS H S PARIS |
Public | 8.6 | 946 | +1.8% |
| DETROIT H S DETROIT |
Public | 9.8 | 154 | +12.4% |
| CHISUM H S PARIS |
Public | 10.6 | 334 | +9.5% |
| NORTH LAMAR H S PARIS |
Public | 12.4 | 705 | -0.8% |
| Trinity Christian Academy Paris |
Private | 13.2 | 149 | +50.5% |
| TRAVIS H S OF CHOICE PARIS |
Public | 13.2 | 32 | — |
| SULPHUR BLUFF ISD SULPHUR BLUFF |
Public | 16.7 | 82 | +6.5% |
| RIVERCREST H S BOGATA |
Public | 17.3 | 215 | +13.8% |