PSJA SOUTHWEST EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,588 students:
≈ 175 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,915 per student in district revenue, the 175 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,610,125/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSJA EARLY COLLEGE H S SAN JUAN |
Public | 1.8 | 2,300 | -7.7% |
| PSJA COLLEGIATE SCHOOL OF HEALTH PROFESSIONS SAN JUAN |
Public | 1.9 | 340 | +507.1% |
| VANGUARD REMBRANDT PHARR |
Public · charter | 2.4 | 500 | +0.8% |
| PSJA THOMAS JEFFERSON T-STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S PHARR |
Public | 2.6 | 553 | -4.0% |
| BUELL CENTRAL DAEP PHARR |
Public | 2.8 | 87 | +24.3% |
| IDEA COLLEGE PREPARATORY PHARR PHARR |
Public · charter | 3.0 | 449 | +6.4% |
| PREMIER H S OF SAN JUAN SAN JUAN |
Public · charter | 3.6 | 108 | +8.0% |
| TEXASWORKS - SAN JUAN SAN JUAN |
Public · charter | 3.6 | 9 | — |