JAY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,118 students:
≈ 494 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,862 per student in district revenue, the 494 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $5,859,828/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIGHTHOUSE HIGH SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 0.7 | 88 | +60.0% |
| IDEA MAYS COLLEGE PREPARATORY SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 0.8 | 377 | +37.6% |
| HARMONY SCIENCE ACAD (SAN ANTONIO) SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 287 | -27.9% |
| New Life Christian Academy Hybrid San Antonio |
Private | 1.7 | 56 | — |
| SOUTHWEST PREPARATORY SCHOOL-NORTHWEST SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 2.7 | 80 | -14.9% |
| STEVENS H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 3.1 | 2,546 | -7.7% |
| VIRGINIA ALLRED STACEY JR/SR H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 3.2 | 181 | -2.2% |
| HOLMES H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 3.5 | 2,422 | -6.0% |