CHURCHILL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,308 students:
≈ 470 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,784 per student in district revenue, the 470 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $6,008,480/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Christian School At Castle Hills San Antonio |
Private | 1.3 | 525 | +16.2% |
| SOMERSET ACADEMY COLLEGIATE SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 2.4 | 304 | -13.9% |
| KIPP SOMOS COLLEGIATE SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 363 | +10.7% |
| ALTER H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 2.7 | 106 | +0.0% |
| LEGACY OF EDUCATIONAL EXCELLENCE H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 2.9 | 2,285 | -5.9% |
| INTERNATIONAL SCHOOL OF AMERICA SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 2.9 | 493 | +5.3% |
| BASIS SAN ANTONIO- SHAVANO CAMPUS SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 3.5 | 371 | +6.6% |
| Blessed Hope Academy San Antonio |
Private | 3.5 | 41 | — |