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NEW CANEY H S

Public
NEW CANEY, TX · NEW CANEY ISD · 74.2% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 423 in 2021 to 570 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+34.8%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,226 students:

2025
2,219
2027
2,206
2029
2,193

≈ 33 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,885 per student in district revenue, the 33 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $458,205/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
THE LEARNING CTR
NEW CANEY
Public 1.6 65
Joyful Sound Christian Academy
Porter
Private 2.3 16
Porter Christian Academy
Porter
Private 2.5 65 -3.0%
PORTER H S
PORTER
Public 3.0 2,094 -10.4%
KINGWOOD PARK H S
KINGWOOD
Public 4.2 1,884 -2.3%
INFINITY EARLY COLLEGE H S
PORTER
Public 5.6 358 -9.4%
KI CHARTER - KINGWOOD
HOUSTON
Public · charter 6.1 8
KINGWOOD H S
KINGWOOD
Public 6.2 2,877 +0.9%

Is NEW CANEY H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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