MOUNT CALM ISD
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 168 students:
≈ 34 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,348 per student in district revenue, the 34 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $623,832/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBBARD H S HUBBARD |
Public | 6.4 | 116 | -10.1% |
| PENELOPE SCHOOL PENELOPE |
Public | 7.5 | 62 | -6.1% |
| AXTELL H S AXTELL |
Public | 9.1 | 236 | +15.1% |
| WEST H S WEST |
Public | 12.6 | 375 | -9.6% |
| COOLIDGE H S COOLIDGE |
Public | 13.2 | 73 | -5.2% |
| DAWSON PK-12 DAWSON |
Public | 13.6 | 200 | +25.8% |
| ABBOTT SCHOOL ABBOTT |
Public | 14.3 | 87 | +6.1% |
| LONE STAR H S CENTRAL (TJJD) MART |
Public | 15.1 | 215 | +1.4% |