MIDLOTHIAN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,976 students:
≈ 207 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,364 per student in district revenue, the 207 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,766,348/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIDLOTHIAN HERITAGE H S MIDLOTHIAN |
Public | 3.1 | 1,760 | +51.6% |
| WAXAHACHIE H S WAXAHACHIE |
Public | 6.6 | 3,056 | +9.3% |
| VENUS H S VENUS |
Public | 7.1 | 717 | -0.4% |
| Ovilla Christian School Ovilla |
Private | 7.7 | 308 | +19.8% |
| MANSFIELD LAKE RIDGE H S MANSFIELD |
Public | 7.7 | 2,751 | +6.1% |
| CEDAR HILL H S CEDAR HILL |
Public | 8.0 | 1,974 | -13.3% |
| CEDAR HILL COLLEGIATE H S CEDAR HILL |
Public | 8.5 | 304 | -12.6% |
| MANSFIELD H S MANSFIELD |
Public | 9.0 | 2,552 | -1.2% |