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MARBLE FALLS H S

Public
MARBLE FALLS, TX · MARBLE FALLS ISD · 60.7% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 275 in 2021 to 239 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-13.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,129 students:

2025
1,109
2027
1,070
2029
1,033

≈ 96 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,219 per student in district revenue, the 96 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,365,024/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Faith Academy Of Marble Falls
Marble Falls
Private 1.5 304 +9.4%
FALLS CAREER H S
MARBLE FALLS
Public 1.5 45
QUEST H S
BURNET
Public 12.6 35
KINGSLAND SCHOOL
KINGSLAND
Public · charter 12.8 39
BURNET H S
BURNET
Public 13.5 946 -0.7%
LAGO VISTA H S
LAGO VISTA
Public 19.0 650 +4.0%
LIBERTY HILL H S
LIBERTY HILL
Public 19.0 2,156 +21.6%
Fortis Academy
Liberty Hill
Private 19.6 267 +107.0%

Is MARBLE FALLS H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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