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CORONADO H S

Public
LUBBOCK, TX · LUBBOCK ISD · 65.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 438 in 2021 to 458 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+4.6%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,878 students:

2025
1,852
2027
1,801
2029
1,752

≈ 126 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,330 per student in district revenue, the 126 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,679,580/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Lubbock Christian School
Lubbock
Private 1.2 311 -19.0%
Christ The King Cathedral School
Lubbock
Private 1.7 254 -24.6%
MONTEREY H S
LUBBOCK
Public 1.9 2,117 +0.2%
PREMIER H S OF LUBBOCK
LUBBOCK
Public · charter 2.0 175 -12.9%
Kingdom Preparatory Academy
Lubbock
Private 2.2 258 +35.8%
TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY K-12
LUBBOCK
Public 2.7 425 -0.7%
Southcrest Christian School
Lubbock
Private 2.7 390 +2.6%
RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY LUBBOCK
LUBBOCK
Public · charter 2.9 155 +5.4%

Is CORONADO H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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