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VANDEGRIFT H S

Public
AUSTIN, TX · LEANDER ISD · 8.0% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 682 in 2021 to 628 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-7.9%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -3.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,437 students:

2025
2,349
2027
2,181
2029
2,026

≈ 411 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,976 per student in district revenue, the 411 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $5,333,136/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
WESTWOOD H S
AUSTIN
Public 4.3 2,858 +2.8%
Lake Travis Stem Academy
Cedar Park
Private 4.3 46
Lake Travis Stem Academy
Cedar Park
Private 4.3 51
Bridges Academy Austin
Austin
Private 4.5 35
ANDERSON H S
AUSTIN
Public 4.5 2,223 -0.3%
Hill Country Christian School Of Austin
Austin
Private 4.6 560 +4.1%
St Stephens Episcopal School
Austin
Private 4.7 699 +1.9%
CEDAR PARK H S
CEDAR PARK
Public 5.2 2,155 +7.4%

Is VANDEGRIFT H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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