VISTA RIDGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,480 students:
≈ 183 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,976 per student in district revenue, the 183 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,374,608/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Dominic Savio Catholic High School Austin |
Private | 2.5 | 400 | +2.6% |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF ENDEAVOR AUSTIN AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 3.2 | 180 | +13.2% |
| Hill Country Christian School Of Austin Austin |
Private | 4.1 | 560 | +4.1% |
| LEANDER H S LEANDER |
Public | 4.1 | 2,131 | -2.4% |
| WESTWOOD H S AUSTIN |
Public | 4.3 | 2,858 | +2.8% |
| ROUSE H S LEANDER |
Public | 4.3 | 2,260 | +17.9% |
| CEDAR PARK H S CEDAR PARK |
Public | 4.6 | 2,155 | +7.4% |
| Lake Travis Stem Academy Cedar Park |
Private | 4.6 | 46 | — |