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HECTOR J GARCIA EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
LAREDO, TX · LAREDO ISD · 89.8% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 88 in 2021 to 89 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+1.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 392 students:

2025
390
2027
385
2029
381

≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,149 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $155,639/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
JOHN B ALEXANDER H S
LAREDO
Public 1.0 3,171 +6.4%
TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-LAREDO NORTH
LAREDO
Public · charter 3.2 131 +19.1%
F S LARA ACADEMY
LAREDO
Public 3.3 68
Superior Academy Of Loredo
Laredo
Private 3.6 50
NIXON H S
LAREDO
Public 3.8 2,124 -1.7%
UNITED H S
LAREDO
Public 4.2 3,463 -7.9%
HARMONY SCHOOL OF EXCELLENCE - LAREDO
LAREDO
Public · charter 4.4 671 +8.2%
St Augustine High School
Laredo
Private 4.9 335

Is HECTOR J GARCIA EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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