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JASPER H S

Public
JASPER, TX · JASPER ISD · 67.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 141 in 2021 to 155 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+9.9%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -3.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 633 students:

2025
612
2027
572
2029
534

≈ 99 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,691 per student in district revenue, the 99 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,355,409/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
NEWTON H S
NEWTON
Public 16.5 283 +8.8%
BROOKELAND H S
BROOKELAND
Public 17.1 101 -1.9%
SPURGER H S
SPURGER
Public 17.7 102 +12.1%
KIRBYVILLE H S
KIRBYVILLE
Public 18.7 427 +11.8%
BURKEVILLE SCHOOL
BURKEVILLE
Public 21.1 74 -2.6%
WEST SABINE H S
PINELAND
Public 24.1 162 -1.8%
COLMESNEIL JH/HS
COLMESNEIL
Public 25.2 122 -3.2%
WOODVILLE H S
WOODVILLE
Public 26.6 360 -1.4%

Is JASPER H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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