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ATASCOCITA H S

Public
HUMBLE, TX · HUMBLE ISD · 44.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 870 in 2021 to 908 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+4.4%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 3,696 students:

2025
3,645
2027
3,544
2029
3,447

≈ 249 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,014 per student in district revenue, the 249 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,240,486/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
ISCHOOL HIGH - ATASCOCITA
HOUSTON
Public · charter 1.4 148
HUMBLE COMMUNITY LEARNING CENTER
HUMBLE
Public 1.8 125 +62.3%
SUMMER CREEK H S
HOUSTON
Public 4.3 3,972 +19.1%
GUY M SCONZO EARLY COLLEGE H S
HUMBLE
Public 4.4 490 +16.1%
HUMBLE H S
HUMBLE
Public 4.6 2,960 +2.8%
KINGWOOD H S
KINGWOOD
Public 4.8 2,877 +0.9%
The Covenant Preparatory School
Kingwood
Private 4.8 215 -29.0%
KI CHARTER - KINGWOOD
HOUSTON
Public · charter 5.7 8

Is ATASCOCITA H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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