HOUSTON MATH SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CENTER
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,396 students:
≈ 491 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,316 per student in district revenue, the 491 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $6,538,156/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KIPP GENERATIONS COLLEGIATE HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 0.6 | 614 | +3.0% |
| NORTH HOUSTON EARLY COLLEGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.4 | 489 | +0.8% |
| Our Redeemer Lutheran North School Houston |
Private | 1.5 | 6 | — |
| GEORGE I SANCHEZ NORTH HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.5 | 199 | -6.1% |
| YES PREP - NORTHLINE HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.8 | 535 | +104.2% |
| PREMIER H S HOUSTON GALLERY NORTH HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 108 | -20.0% |
| TEXASWORKS - HOUSTON-GALLERY FURNITURE HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 17 | — |
| WASHINGTON B T H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.7 | 811 | -4.5% |