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AUSTIN H S

Public
HOUSTON, TX · HOUSTON ISD · 95.5% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 293 in 2021 to 308 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+5.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -8.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,181 students:

2025
1,076
2027
894
2029
743

≈ 438 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,316 per student in district revenue, the 438 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $5,832,408/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
COMMUNITY SERVICES-SEC
HOUSTON
Public 0.2 48
EASTWOOD ACADEMY
HOUSTON
Public 0.3 365 -8.3%
KIPP EAST END H S
HOUSTON
Public · charter 0.7 625 +94.7%
H S FOR LAW AND JUSTICE
HOUSTON
Public 1.0 391 -10.9%
EAST EARLY COLLEGE H S
HOUSTON
Public 1.4 458 +2.2%
MIDDLE COLLEGE H S AT HCC FRAGA
HOUSTON
Public 1.4 130 +0.8%
YATES H S
HOUSTON
Public 1.5 685 -26.5%
GEORGE I SANCHEZ CHARTER
HOUSTON
Public · charter 1.7 303 -12.4%

Is AUSTIN H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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