SECONDARY ALTER CTR
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -9.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 59 students:
≈ 23 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,164 per student in district revenue, the 23 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $302,772/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARLINGEN COLLEGIATE H S HARLINGEN |
Public | 0.9 | 353 | +6.0% |
| CAMERON CO J J A E P SAN BENITO |
Public | 1.4 | 6 | — |
| CAMERON CO J J A E P SAN BENITO |
Public | 1.4 | 4 | — |
| CAMERON CO J J A E P PORT ISABEL |
Public | 1.4 | 3 | — |
| CAMERON CO J J A E P SAN BENITO |
Public | 1.4 | 8 | — |
| IDEA COLLEGE PREPARATORY SAN BENITO SAN BENITO |
Public · charter | 1.6 | 405 | +8.0% |
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-SAN BENITO SAN BENITO |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 108 | -21.2% |
| HARLINGEN H S HARLINGEN |
Public | 2.4 | 2,433 | +21.7% |